By theredraylives | February 26, 2012
It’s Oscar Time!!!!!!!!!
And with just over 4 hours to go until the show begins (and we’re all forced to suffer through Billy Crystal), I’m racing to get my final picks in! An important note: I don’t “pick” the “winners” like so many critics and reviewers. Too many people play the game of trying to pick the winner even if they don’t agree that it was the best performance. I don’t care to play that game, since it is meaningless and senseless. I pick what film/performance/etc I loved the most, and what I think its chances are. And I have not seen everything that is nominated, so of course I am only picking between the things I’ve seen.
I do like Oscar buzz, but I tend not to pay too much attention.
Without further ado…………………. (my picks are highlighted in bold… to view each film’s trailer, click the ‘~’ following the title).
Best Picture of the Year
I’m picking The Descendants because the film is nothing short of amazing. Clooney gives the performance of the year in this film, and Payne’s direction- as always- is excellent. The film has so much humanity and feeling infused throughout it, and when you reach the end of the film you’ve gone on a journey with each of the characters. Will it win? No, I’m certain not. Most of the buzz is on The Artist, which was also a phenomenal film, and I won’t be sad when it wins.
Actor in a Leading Role
Going hand-in-hand with my love of The Descendants, I have to pick Clooney to take home a statue as well. He gave an absolutely incredible performance. No idea who the buzz is on this year- I won’t hate it if Demián Bichir wins for his heartrending performance in A Better Life, nor Jean Dujardin. Oldman was a gem in a plodding and atrociously-paced film, so his prize is being nominated.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Not even making a pick since I’ve only seen Branagh in My Week, and something tells me his performance- while excellent- isn’t taking home gold.
Actress in a Leading Role
Viola Davis wins here because she was absolutely amazing in The Help. Sadly, the other buzzed-about performance, Streep in The Iron Lady, I have not seen, but I’m banking this all on the strength of Viola Davis and her performance. Rooney Mara was good in Dragon Tattoo but doesn’t deserve a statue for it. Williams was excellent in a bland movie, and that’s not going to help.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Bérénice Bejo – The Artist
Jessica Chastain – The Help
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids~
Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Spencer absolutely shines in The Help, so this statue is as good as hers (the fact that she’s been cleaning up on other awards circuits doesn’t hurt either). Chastain’s performance in the same film was excellent and she shared a lot of scenes with Spencer, so it’s good to see her here. Bejo was amazing in The Artist, but I still don’t see it taking any acting honors home. Where it will win, though…
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorcese – Hugo
Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Tree of Life was an utter disaster, so there’s no way Malick takes this home. As much as I’d love to pick Payne (and as much as I loved The Descendants), I have to go with Hazanavicius, because The Artist was absolutely amazing, and that is in no small part thanks to him. Not to mention he did lock up the DGA… so his win here is all but assured.
The Artist – Guillaume Schiffman
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – Jeff Cronenweth
Hugo – Robert Richardson
The Tree of Life – Emmanuel Lubezki
War Horse – Janusz Kaminski
If Tree of Life wins here, it’d be the only award it would actually kind of deserve.
The Artist – Anne-Sophie Bion and Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants – Kevin Tent
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo – Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
Hugo – Thelma Schoonmaker
Moneyball – Christopher Tellefsen
Girl being nominated here is almost criminal, because it was sloppy as hell (of course more blame for that should go to the script than anything else).
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
The Descendants – Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash
Hugo – John Logan
The Ides of March – George Clooney, Grant Heslov, and Beau Willimon
Moneyball – Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan
The Descendents should have an easy win here. Ides and Tinker Tailor were both mediocre films, and the only way they deserve any kind of award is if they were based on equally mediocre source material.
Writing (Original Screenplay)
I’ll be honest here- I’ve seen none of the other films nominated.
And that’ll do it for my picks… I don’t really pick into the minor categories unless I really like the race, which here I’m somewhat indifferent (I usually love picking original score, but this year, it’s going to be The Artist, let’s not kid ourselves). We’ve now got just about 3-1/2 hours to go… want to respond/agree/disagree? Follow me on Twitter @theredraylives!
In the meantime, check out some of my reviews of the nominated films here or over at examiner.com! Also I’m still going to attempt to do a live blog of the show, but we’ll see how feasible that is come showtime.
Only your support allows us to provide election coverage, Movie reviews and previews, and event commentary. Visit Alchemy at World of VASS, help keep us going. We appreciate your support.